Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

Cardano Jumps 20% as Analyst Eyes Bitcoin Pullback to $40K to 'Fill CME Gap'

Validated Media

Market observers "underappreciate" future inflows from institutional investors to bitcoin, asset 21.co CEO said in a CoinDesk TV interview.

  • Layer 1 tokens ADA, ALGO, AVAX and SOL among best performers as capital rotation from stalling BTC lifts altcoins.
  • Bitcoin may revisit $40,000 to "fill CME price gap," crypto analyst Willy Woo speculated.

Native tokens tied to layer 1 (L1) blockchains gained the most Friday, with Cardano (ADA) being the best performer, as steady bitcoin (BTC) price fueled capital rotation to altcoins.

Bitcoin bounced between $43,000 and $44,000 during the day, quickly shaking off a minor dip following a stronger U.S. employment report than analysts expected that dampened interest rate cut expectations for next year.

The top crypto was recently trading at around $43,800, consolidating as investors digested its swift rally to near $45,000 this week after its breakout from $38,000 a week ago.

Altcoins, meanwhile, jumped across the board, resembling early November's "altcoin rotation" when slowing bitcoin momentum drove traders to realize some gains and invest in smaller, riskier cryptocurrencies. These capital rotations are typical in the crypto markets after large bitcoin run-ups, followed by a rally in bigger crypto assets then among meme coins and micro caps as traders chase tokens that haven't moved yet to profit.

ADA surged 25% to 57 cents at one point during the day, its highest price since August 2022. It gave up some of the early gains later in the day, but was still up almost 20% today. Other notable top performers were native tokens of Polkadot (DOT), Algorand (ALGO), Avalanche (AVAX) and Solana (SOL), which posted 7%-11% gains.

The CoinDesk Market Index (CMI), a basket of almost 200 cryptocurrencies, was up 1.5% through the day, more than BTC, underscoring altcoin outperformance.

What's next for BTC

As bitcoin's momentum stalled, some analysts speculated about a potential pullback to retest lower price levels.

Bitcoin-focused analyst Willy Woo eyed a price level between $39,000-$41,000 based on a price gap in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) bitcoin futures market, which BTC might "fill" sometime in the future.

These price gaps occur because the CME futures market, unlike native crypto exchanges like Binance or Deribit, don't trade around the clock, and there could be a difference between closing and opening prices depending on bitcoin's price action when the market is closed. Some analysts reckon that asset prices tend to revisit these levels during a correction, filling the gap.

BTC rallied last weekend surpassing $40,000, when the CME futures market was closed, creating the price gap on the chart.

"By my count 28 out of 30 gaps have been filled on CME daily candles (93%)," Woo posted on X, formerly Twitter.

However, these gaps do not always get filled. For example, BTC hasn't revisited the CME gap at around $20,000 yet, formed in March during the weekend collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB).

Institutional inflows to bitcoin are "underappreciated"

  Despite a potential short-term pullback, bitcoin's outlook is bullish, with growing interest among institutional investors, Hany Rashwan, co-founder and CEO of digital asset management firm 21.co, said in a Friday interview with CoinDesk TV.

Rashwan opined that market observers are "underappreciating" future inflows into BTC if – or once – a spot-based exchange-traded fund gets approved in the U.S, which will likely happen according to analysts.

"There are a lot of prospective buyers, who for various reasons wanted to invest in crypto but has been prohibited to do so" because of regulations, he said. Rashwan noted that 75% of inflows into digital asset funds during the year happened in the past 60-90 days. "That's not normal," he said, adding that it's "a sign of change in sentiment across primarily institutional players."

Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Cointime May 5th News Express

    1.The Federal Reserve reduced its balance sheet by $77 billion in April, and the size of its balance sheet fell below $7.4 trillion2.Former Bitmex CEO: Bitcoin will trade between $60,000 and $70,000 before August 3.SLERF total destruction exceeds 7 million USD4.ether.fi large staker initiates pledge withdrawal application for 37,140 ETH5.Web3 digital asset company Alpha Transform Holdings makes strategic investments in Arhasi and Cloudbench 6.A trader spent 402 ETH to buy 732,326 FRIEND, with an unrealized profit of $653,0007.A certain address has sold a total of 677,197 FRIEND airdrops through BunnySwap, making a profit of approximately $1.15 million8.A multi-signature wallet withdrew 915.85 billion PEPE from Binance9.The NFT project Blob team engraved the rune EPIC•EPIC•EPIC•EPIC on the Epic Satoshi block of Bitcoin’s fourth halving10.On-Chain Analyst Predicts Six to Twelve Months of 'Parabolic Advance' for Bitcoin

  • Sui Network addresses claims about its token supply

    Sui maintains that its tokenomics are sound and that it uses reputable third parties to handle token storage.

  • Is Bitcoin price going to crash again?

    Strong technical resistance levels and a high number of profitable traders pose the risk of modest pullbacks in the Bitcoin market.

  • What are tokenized commodities?

    Tokenized commodities, which include energy resources, agricultural products, precious metals and other tangible things, are digital representations of real-world assets.

  • Bitcoin opens $63K futures gap as thin liquidity threatens BTC price

    Bitcoin market participants are doubting the staying power of the ongoing BTC price relief bounce.

  • More than half of the Fortune 100 uses Apple’s Vision Pro headset

    Spatial computing in the industrial metaverse appears to be paying off for the company that Steve Jobs built.

  • Cointime May 4th News Express

    1. Hong Kong Bitcoin Spot ETF has held 4,218 BTC since its listing three days ago

  • Blockchain Asset Management announces launch of a dedicated blockchain fund for accredited investors

    Blockchain Asset Management, a cryptocurrency fund with a scale of $100 million, announced the launch of an exclusive blockchain fund for qualified investors. The specific amount of funds raised by the fund has not been disclosed yet, but it is said to have reached "eight figures", which means it is in the tens of millions of dollars. In addition, the investment threshold for the new fund is $100,000, and all investors are required to meet the approved standards (annual income exceeding $200,000, net assets exceeding $1 million).

  • Renault's BWT Alpine F1 Team announces partnership with ApeCoinDAO

    The BWT Alpine F1 team under Renault announced a partnership with ApeCoinDAO on X platform, which will introduce APE into the Alpine F1 ecosystem and collaborate with global token holders to launch peripheral products and digital assets inspired by the first ApeCoin. It is reported that according to the cooperation between the two parties, in the future, BAYC NFTs may be able to wear equipment and clothing with the Alpine team logo.

  • BTC breaks through $63,000

    The market shows BTC has broken through $63,000 and is currently trading at $63,014.9, with a daily increase of 6.11%. The market is volatile, so please exercise caution in risk management.