Cointime

Download App
iOS & Android

NFT Mint Analysis: How Can We Discover Opportunities Ahead of Time?

Validated Project

The NFT mint stage is a mandatory part of most project offerings. There are a series of pre-mint warm-up or community events where people can get to know the collection better and become early partakers in the community. It is worth noting that NFT mint is also a way to generate big revenue at a small cost, because more often than not, the floor price of a good collection will grow several times or even dozens of times the mint price.

It is crucial to pay attention to mint-related metrics. On the one hand, the public attention a collection obtains during its mint period can serve as a guideline for its liquidity and price in the future. On the other hand, we can explore a generic growth pattern among collections as they progress from zero volume (during mint) to a higher level over time.

As such, we have conducted a data analysis of 4074 NFT collections with a trading volume of over 50 ETH. The purpose of this analysis is to offer our perspective on potential opportunities and trends for partakers and creators of NFTs.

The level of participation of whales and influencers

Generally speaking, trading volume is one of the most important factors in assessing a collection's popularity. What factors may influence trading volume? We define notable minters as Whales and/or Blue Chip holders. These minters have a big capital pool and a high social presence. Furthermore, NFTs are known to be heavily influenced by the attention economy. Data has further demonstrated that there is a positive correlation between notable minters and volume.

Data source: NFTGo.io

Drilling down into specific collections, we found that collections with the highest volumes of this year, including Art Gobblers, Renga, and BFF Friendship Bracelets, all rank high in terms of the number of notable minters.

Early floor price

The floor price after minting is also an important factor. When the floor price is higher, in most cases, the volume in the secondary market will be swept over by FOMO sentiments. Furthermore, data also shows a positive correlation between the 2H floor price and trading volume. Among all collections that we analyzed, the floor price of 65 of them reached 1 ETH within 2 hours of launch, of which 50% — 32 of them even reached 2 ETH.

Data source: NFTGo.io

Early number of minted NFTs & Unique Minters

There is a correlation between volume and the number of NFTs minted within the first 5 to 10 minutes, but it is not significant. Firstly, there are plenty of copycat projects whose sole purpose is to maximize profit in the secondary market. Once these projects' hype subsides, they will vanish, hence they cannot reach a high trading volume. Secondly, in order to determine the popularity of a collection, we need to take into account the number of minted NFTs with other indicators, such as unique minters. Many collections nowadays tend to offer their NFTs in batches instead of issuing their supplies all at once.

Data source: NFTGo.io

It should be noted that, when comparing to other collections, the number of NFTs minted in the first 5 to 10 mins is related to how fast the collection reaches 50 ETH in trading volume. This means that the more the number of early mints, the faster the collection reaches 50 ETH in trading volume.

Trading rate

To some extent, the rapid rise in trading volume is an indication of how buzzed a collection is at a given time. So, how long does it take for a collection to reach 20 ETH, 50 ETH, or even 100 ETH? What are the characteristics of a high-achieving collection?

As we can see from the figure below, the collections that have reached 20 ETH, 50 ETH, and 100 ETH share a similar growth trend in terms of trading volume. On top of that, volume peaked at the 1st and the 24th hours since mint. This is particularly true for the 24th hour time point as volume surged more than 10% in all the three circumstances.

Of all the data we collected, we discovered that 40% of these studied collections reached 20 ETH within a day, the other 25% reached 20 ETH within ten days. Last but not least, the remaining 35% reached the 20 ETH milestone after one month.

It is noteworthy that only 23% of these collections reached 100 ETH in trading volume within one hour of launch. Even after 30 days, only 68.2% of these collections managed to achieve 100 ETH. However, half of these collections hit 50 ETH within 15 days.

The trading volume of collections offered in the bear market is not top-tier, but there are still a few standouts. According to NFTGo.io, since September, Art Gobblers has topped the volume ranking. It is then followed by Renga, KPR, and QQL Mint Pass. Their volumes are 42889 ETH, 2146 ETH, 9235 ETH, and 7539 ETH, respectively. Moreover, a volume chasm is observed for new collections as there are only 40 collections with a volume of over 1000 ETH.

Under the current market environment, people tend to trade with caution, but they have also become better at identifying innovative projects from repetitive ones.

Disclaimer: The above information is for informational purposes only. Investing in digital assets such as NFTs and cryptocurrency brings with it a high degree of risk. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. NFTGo.io does not provide financial advice and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of investing in digital assets.

NFT
Comments

All Comments

Recommended for you

  • Scammers use Google to promote fake Whales Market website to steal cryptocurrency

    According to a report from BleepingComputer, threat actors have discovered a method where scammers use Google's platform to promote phishing websites impersonating Whales Market in order to steal cryptocurrency. These fraudulent websites are placed as sponsored links (i.e. advertisements) at the top of Google search result pages, and despite the domain address displayed on the search result page appearing to be real, users will be redirected to the fake website upon clicking.

  • Cyvers: Hedgey suffered the same vulnerability on Arbitrum and lost about $42.8 million

    Cyvers Alerts on X platform stated that the system detected that the financial derivative agreement Hedgey Finance executed the same vulnerability on the ARB chain and gained approximately 42.8 million US dollars in profit.

  • Tether issues 1 billion USDT on Ethereum (authorized but not yet issued)

    Whale Alert has monitored Tether Treasury's addition of 1 billion USDT on Ethereum. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino stated that this 1 billion USDT is a supplement to Ethereum inventory. This is an authorized but unissued transaction, which means that this issuance will be used for the next issuance request and cross-chain exchange inventory.

  • CertiK: Hedgey vulnerability was exploited and $1.9 million was stolen

    CertiK Alert posted on social media that it has detected that the on-chain token infrastructure protocol Hedgey has been exploited and stolen approximately 1.9 million US dollars.The attacker abused the createLockedCampaign function in flash loans to obtain approval for the use of tokens on the victim's contract. The USDC, NOBL, and MASA tokens in the victim's contract have been depleted.

  • Binance executives' bail application postponed again, still in custody

    The bail hearing for Binance executive Tigran Gambaryan has been postponed again by a Nigerian court, and he remains detained at the Kuje Correctional Center. The hearing is now scheduled for April 22, with the EFCC requesting time to respond to new arguments from the defense. Gambaryan's lawyer criticized the prosecution for failing to respond promptly. Binance has been accused of concealing the source of its income, while Gambaryan is accused of money laundering. In addition, he has also filed a lawsuit against the government for violating his human rights.

  • BTC breaks through $64,000

    The market shows BTC breaking through $64,000, now reporting at $64,012.44, with an intraday increase of 4.95%. The market fluctuates greatly, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • SEC accuses Justin Sun of frequent trips to the U.S. to sell tokens

    The US SEC has amended its lawsuit against Tron founder Sun Yuchen, stating that his frequent travel to multiple locations in the US allows the court to have corresponding jurisdiction. The SEC accuses Sun Yuchen and his company of selling unregistered securities through Tron and BitTorrent (BTT) tokens and engaging in manipulative money laundering transactions. The SEC claims that Sun Yuchen spent more than 380 days in the US from 2017 to 2019, with travel destinations including New York, Boston, and San Francisco. Sun Yuchen argues that the token sales were conducted entirely overseas, avoiding the US market, and therefore the SEC has no jurisdiction over him and the Tron Foundation, which is headquartered in Singapore. (Cointelegraph)

  • Cyvers Alerts: Multiple phishing transactions detected this morning

    Cyvers Alerts reported on X platform that multiple phishing transactions were discovered by the system this morning. The victims have approved the external owned accounts (EOA) of the phishers. We strongly recommend revoking the relevant approvals.

  • BTC breaks through $63,000

    The market shows BTC has broken through $63,000 and is currently trading at $63,062.48, with an intraday increase of 3.53%. The market is volatile, so please be prepared for risk control.

  • The Future of Culture is Tokenized

    How Culture Coins could be the future of Crypto.