In this study, I analyze the price performance of 40 football fan tokens (Barcelona, Man City, Santos FC, and many more) and which factors are most important for their success.
As always, please keep in mind that this is not an academic study.
Let’s go!
What Are Football Fan Tokens?
Football fan tokens are utility tokens that give token holders specific benefits. In the case of football clubs, for example, holders can vote on official team polls to help the team to make fan-related decisions, enjoy exclusive promotions, VIP experiences, and engage with a community of like-minded super fans.
The Dataset
The data I used in this analysis comes from three sources: OKLink, Socios, and CoinMarketCap.
The price data is from 19.11.2022.
Which Football Fan Tokens Are The Most Popular?
The chart above visualizes the number of holders of (range from 3,400 to 31,000) and the total supply (range from 1 million to 40 million) of each token. The further to the right, the more holders of the token. The larger the size of the logo shown on the chart, the larger the total supply.
Here is a list of the 10 most popular football fan tokens at the moment:
- A.C.Milan Fan Token: 31,000 Holders
- FC Porto Fan Token: 30,500 Holders
- AS Roma Fan Token: 25,600 Holders
- CR Flamengo Fan Token: 25,000 Holders
- Juventus F.C Fan Token: 24,500 Holders
- Paris St Germain Fan Token: 22,800 Holders
- Barcelona FC Fan Token: 22,100 Holders
- Arsenal London Fan Token: 22,100 Holders
- SC Corinthias Fan Token: 19,900 Holders
- Manchester City Fan Token: 19,700 Holders
Which Tokens Have The Best Price Performance?
The 5 football fan tokens with the currently highest price are:
- Santos FC Fan Token: 9.95$
- Argentine Football Association Fan Token: 8.23$
- SS Lazio Fan Token: 7.78$
- Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token: 6.52$
- Portugal National Team Fan Token: 6.06$
Since crypto is currently in a bear market, the performance of most football fan tokens is negative. On average, the current prices of the tokens are 79% below the all-time high and minus 23% from the initial sale price. We are also seeing some positive outliers to the upside.
The following fan tokens ROI (return on investment) are currently in plus:
- Portugal National Team Fan Token: +451%
- Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token: +196%
- Argentine Football Associate Fan Token: +91%
- FC Barcelona Fan Token: +62%
- Galatasaray Fan Token: +8%
- Trabszonspor Fan Token: +7%
Factors Influencing Football Fan Token Price
There are a couple of factors that seem to have an impact on price.
There is a moderate positive correlation (0.37) between how many holders a token has and its price. It seems that a higher number of owners supports higher token prices.
There is a strong positive correlation (0.6) between the total supply of a token and its price. I can only speculate as to the reasons. But what is striking about football fan tokens is that on average only around 20% of the total supply is currently in circulation.
Football Fan Tokens Price Prediction
It is true that price predictions for cryptocurrencies are generally difficult. But with football fan tokens, there are a few characteristics that need to be considered:
High loyalty of buyers
Football fans are different. Unlike ordinary crypto investors, they have greater loyalty to the tokens they hold. That would at least be a logical explanation for the fact that the average price of football fan tokens is only 23% below the initial price despite the bear market. In comparison, most other coins and tokens lost 80% or more of their value on average during a bear market.
Real performance translates (in part) to the price
There is a moderate positive correlation (0.35) between price and the real performance of a football club or association. In other words, the better a club performs, the higher the price of its token.
Devaluation by dilution?
Buyers of fan tokens should also be aware that most fan tokens have a very low circulation-to-supply ratio. Of the 40 tokens in this analysis, this ratio ranges from 7% to 41%, with an average of 20%. This could imply that with more tokens released into circulation in the future, the token prices could face downward pressure.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only. It should NOT be treated as investment and financial advice!
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